Investment Lesson from Misjudgment on Market Trend in 2014~2015: Review – MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077)

By forecasting Market Trend, investors can position their portfolio accordingly to embrace the coming profits from the coming Market Trend. Again, everything is always easier said than done. After the sharing of Investment Lessons from Unpredictable Events in 2014~2015: PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD(1945), in this post, I am going to share with you about my misjudgment on Market Trend in 2014~2015 - MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077).

  

Summary: MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077) – Bought Average RM1.55, SOLD Average RM1.38, Average Loss ~12%

 

Investment Lessons from Unpredictable Events in 2014~2015: PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD (1945)

As an investor, even though my portfolio of around 15 companies has achieved a positive double digit return in the last five years, I must admit that few of the 15 companies did bring some losses. Since one of ways to enhance our investment skills and knowledge is through revision, I am going to share my experiences from these losses in my portfolio in last 12 months - MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077) and PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD (1945). Hopefully, this record can remind me those mistakes from time to time.

 

Summary: PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD (1945) – Warrant Bought RM0.98, SOLD RM0.77, Loss ~23%

Revision: Investment Strategy - GST, Ringgit Depreciation, & Oil Price Drop

As an investor in Malaysia, the recent three factors that may affect my investment decision are - GST implementation, Ringgit depreciation, and oil price drop. In this post, I am going to summarize my opinion, particularly, trying to figure out potential opportunity that may once again maintain or even improve my investment return in the next 1~3 years.


Before that, I would like to re-highlight that every decision or view that stated here is based on present available data and information. If an unforeseen circumstance or event happens, all the strategies and decision (especially for those mid- or long- term plan) must be revised timely to reduce (or hopefully avoid) losses.

3 Methods to Evaluate Market Price of Goods and Services

The determination of the competitive market price of Goods and Services is vital for us to optimize our hard earned money. In this post, I summary three different methods that we can use to evaluate market prices of Goods and Services.

1. Survey

Survey may be the most common method we use to evaluate the price of goods and services.

To implement survey properly, we need to gather sufficient information that come from different independent reliable resources. Otherwise, we may be misled by the bias information that we have eventually.