Showing posts with label Bursa Malaysia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bursa Malaysia. Show all posts

31 December 2021

Stock Market 2021 End Year Review: Top loser: Glove; Top Winner: Defensive; Potential: Steel counters;

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Year 2021 was another exciting year for me in stock market investment. Many lessons and experiences are worthy to be recorded. Let's start from lessons with negative return to positive.

1. Top loser: Glove counters
Without be specific, for those who held glove counters at the beginning of year 2021 until the end of the year, the experience is very hard and valuable. From the mixed of opinions about Glove industries until the recent EPS that clearly shows how quickly supply-and-demand can be balanced in a short period of time in this world. As there is a possibility that the supply will more than the demand, the PEs of glove counters are in historical low level. This shows that Mr Market is pessimistic about the near future performance of glove counters as many new players have joined the parties recently. However, if the price (or valuation) is cheap enough while the products are demanded in the future, this may be a better option to buy related shares instead of kick-start own glove business for those who want to kick-start a glove business now. (p/s: as my quota for glove counters is full, I have no plan to in more in current situation/valuation).

As an individual who needs to wear mask, we experienced the price of mask from RM80++ per a box until RM12+- in few months. This is the benefit of economic scale for consumers!! Hopefully with economic scale, glove industries players can continue to produce affordable gloves with good net profits for their contribution to this world.   

2. Potential: Steel counters
Recently, the increase of steel price caused related players who are well positioned have reported attractive profits. Nevertheless, with relatively low PEs in Steel counters, Mr Market may still believe that the increase of steel price are temporary. Due to relatively low PEs and well balance sheet, I still hold my steel counters even though they are around 25% discount from their recent peak prices. Nevertheless, I will keep find sufficient convincing reasons to divest this investment from time to time. 
(p/s: similar investment situation happens to plantation counters)

3. Top Winner: Defensive
Consumer counters were the top winners in my portfolio 2021. They were not only providing steady dividend incomes during this uncertainty period; but also achieved attractive capital gains. As the interest rate is still low now, I still have no plan to realize these unrealized gain from my portfolio as the dividend yield is still much much higher than interest rate now. 

4. Overall of my portfolio
Even though the net unrealized return from my portfolio 2021 was in net -2.34% loses on 31/12/2021, overall it should be positive after including dividend incomes and other realized profits. Hopefully next year my investment performance will be sustained as what I did in last decade. 

Everything is uncertain in this dynamic world. Thus, portfolio investment is suitable for me who aims to have a good sleep while protecting the purchasing power of my hard earned money. All the best to my reader too.


That's all for today. More fascinating articles and sharing will be updated weekly in Xaivier Blog. So, you are welcome to subscribe our feed to receive our weekly updates

Written by: Xaivier Chia


P/S: The above sharing is solely based on personal insight and information that believed to be reliable. Your valuable feedback are very welcome.

07 May 2015

MALAYSIA STEEL WORKS (KL) BHD [S] (Masteel, 5098) – Delay Audited Financial Statement (AFS) - Case Study

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Latest Quarterly Summary: Future is going to be better.

From its latest quarterly report (2014 Q4), MALAYSIA STEEL WORKS (KL) BHD [S] (Masteel, 5098)appears to be very optimistic about the future as follows:
Prospects
The Company is expected to increase its bar sales volume by 10% for the first half of the year and upon the commissioning of its new rolling mill during the second quarter, for the second half the year, it is anticipated to sell an additional 100,000 mt of high tensile steel bars.
The margin is expected to improve due to the following factors:
1) the continued decline in scrap prices.
2) the reduction in electricity tariff of 5.8% from March till June 2015.
3) higher levels of economies of scale due to higher volume of production .
4) the suspension of natural gas price revision by the Government.
5) due to the stabilizing international iron ore prices, the prices of Chinese steel imports are expected to bottom out.
The Company is expected to perform well in the following quarters based on prevailing business conditions.
The impending impositions of goods services tax (GST) on the Company’s products are not expected to have any material impact on the sales volume of the Company.
 

Shareholding Analysis: Something opposite

According to 2013 Annual Report, Dato’ Sri Tai Hean Leng, Managing Director and CEO of Malaysia Steel Works (KL) Bhd had around 4million Masteel shares.
However, the Managing Director disposed 4.1 Million shares on 30 Dec 2014 as that stated in Bursa Malaysia at a price of RM0.80 only. In other words, the Managing Director already disposed all the shares that directly held by him and obtained around RM3.28million cash.
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/3491377

Question: Why the Managing Director who was so confident with Masteel’s future sold 4million shares?



04 May 2015

Investment Lesson from Misjudgment on Market Trend in 2014~2015: Review – MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077)

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By forecasting Market Trend, investors can position their portfolio accordingly to embrace the coming profits from the coming Market Trend. Again, everything is always easier said than done. After the sharing of Investment Lessons from Unpredictable Events in 2014~2015: PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD(1945), in this post, I am going to share with you about my misjudgment on Market Trend in 2014~2015 - MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077).


  
Summary: MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077) – Bought Average RM1.55, SOLD Average RM1.38, Average Loss ~12%

 



03 May 2015

Investment Lessons from Unpredictable Events in 2014~2015: PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD (1945)

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As an investor, even though my portfolio of around 15 companies has achieved a positive double digit return in the last five years, I must admit that few of the 15 companies did bring some losses. Since one of ways to enhance our investment skills and knowledge is through revision, I am going to share my experiences from these losses in my portfolio in last 12 months - MALAYSIAN BULK CARRIERS BERHAD (5077) and PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD (1945). Hopefully, this record can remind me those mistakes from time to time.

 

Summary: PJ DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS BERHAD (1945) – Warrant Bought RM0.98, SOLD RM0.77, Loss ~23%





07 February 2014

Annual Report Vs Annual Audited Report in Bursa Malaysia: 1st Step for Evaluation

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I still remember when I was just getting started investing in Stock Market in Bursa Malaysia, I read a couple of books about how to evaluate a company or business. The most important thing is to ensure the financial report that used for evaluation is audited. Thus, I was quite frustrated when I found difficulty to find an Annual Audited Report of some companies in Bursa Malaysia.
 
After struggling few days, finally, I realised that, in Bursa Malaysia, all the financial statements or reports in annual report have been audited. Consequently, some companies only publish annual report in Bursa Malaysia.




26 December 2013

EKSONS (9016) - DISPOSAL OF LAND: A Mini Review

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After doing some reviews about proposed of disposal by FACBIND (2984) and LBS (5789), recent disposal of land by Eksons (9016) attracts my eye balls. Nonetheless, my homework indicates that this case appears less attractive compared to my previous case studies, as that stated as follows.
 

100% Vs 60%

First, it is worthy to highlight that we should only consider 60% of the total potential profits from the deal taken by Eksons (9016). This is because this proposed disposal is going to be taken by its 60% owned subsidiary.
 



01 November 2013

Another Unexpected Profits from Stock Market Investment: SCICOM

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Stock market contains abundant unexpected events or things. In order to survive in stock market investment, we need to expect the unexpected. In fact, if things are happen as expected by you or somebody else, then you are probably just getting started in this ever-ending journey.

 

Unexpected Market should be expected

Logically, stock market must be unexpected. This is because stock market is just a media that gathers the action of people. Life is unexpected, so the people. People may need money due to unexpected events, and therefore need to sell out their shares to other. People may need money for better investment that no one else knows yet. People may simply want to realise their profits. In other words, unless you are very lucky, the chances you are right for guessing the moving of market price is 33% - up, down or unchanged, in average.



23 August 2013

Why I sold Malaysian China based listed Companies in Bursa Malaysia: XDL, MSPORT, and MAXWELL

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Firstly, I must clarify that the China based listed companies that I sold were: XDL, MSPORT, and MAXWELL that are still listed in Bursa Malaysia. I shared some of my insight about these companies few years ago. They are still fundamentally attractive, I must admit it. However, some questions that appear in my mind cannot be answered satisfactorily. Thus, I decided to clear them out from my portfolio with margin loses.
 
The very first question is: If you got many extra cash, do you put all your cash in bank account or fixed deposit account for years? 



10 May 2013

The Opportunity of Bursa Malaysia Stock Market: A review after the General Election

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One week after the general election of Malaysia, the price of Stock Market did not drop as expected. Surprisingly, most of my watch list counters appreciated from at least 10% to more than 100%. Did I miss the opportunity again. I think so. Nonetheless, I think the most important thing (besides earn money from stock market) is to learn from experience, and enhance the investment strategy in the future. This post records what the right thing I have done, and which area should I revise and improve.
 

The Right Thing I have Done - Sell the losers, keep the winners




02 May 2013

China listed Companies in Bursa Malaysia: HB Global (5187) - Cash is not KING

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Logic, logic and logic. Logical thinking is very useful to avoid most of the traps. Logically speaking, none of investment is 100% risk-free with attractive guarantee return. In this post, I am going to record the lesson I have learnt from China listed companies in Bursa Malaysia based on my observation and experience since last two years.
 

Assumption - Cash is KING

All investors have their own assumptions. All the investment will provide positive returns if these assumptions are fulfilled. One of these assumptions is "Cash is KING". This is understandable because if even amount of Cash that stated in an annual report is doubtful, I think nobody has a reason to invest hard-earned money in that kind of companies.



22 April 2013

LBS BINA GROUP BERHAD (5789) – Multiple Proposals – Revision

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After sharing my mini homework regarding the multiple proposals of LBS Bina Group Berhad (5789), the market price of LBS (5789) dropped another 10% from RM1.00 to RM0.90. In other words, another 10% discount in terms of investing cost. Therefore, I decide to revise the valuation on LBS (5789) in this post.
 

Revenue upon the disposal

Since the total disposal revenue will be around RM653million, and the total share number of LBS is around 386million, then the revenue per share will be RM1.69. In other words, Zhuhai holdings (the buyer) plans to spend around RM1.69 per share to acquire the two assets (that are, Land Plots and Lakewood Golf Club) of LBS (5789).
 




11 April 2013

LBS BINA GROUP BERHAD (5789) – Multiple Proposals – a mini homework

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Referring to LBS BINA GROUP BERHAD (5789) latest announcement, hereby I share my humble homework and insight regarding the disposals matter.
 

Amount of Sales/Disposals

First, total sale consideration is HKD 1,650 million, or around RM657.69million with exchange rate of 1 HKD: 0.3986 RM. Thus, the total sales value of the two assets (that are, Land Plots and Lakewood) is around RM1088million.
Since the wholly-owned subsidiary of LBS (LBS <-100% Intellplace holdings limited <-100% Dragon Hill corporation limited) Dragon Hill’s wholly-owned subsidiary (i.e. Lamdeal Development and Lamdeal Golf ) has 60% of the aforementioned disposal, the estimated revenue for LBS is around RM653million (i.e. RM1088million times 60%).



08 March 2013

INDUSTRIES INCORPORATED BERHAD (FACBIND, 2984): Revision

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In previous post, I highlighted the attractive area of INDUSTRIES INCORPORATED BERHAD (FACBIND, 2984). However, the latest annoucement slightly disappointed me. Although it appeared that the disposal will be completed soon (after approval from EGM), FACBIND only planned to
invest almost all the "Profits" into NEW BUSINESS*. In other words, no special dividend will be announced. This causes another uncertainty for me.

In a comparison with P&O's divestment that at least planned to allocates some portion for its shareholders, the uncertainty of FACBIND is higher than P&O, obviously.



27 December 2012

Star Publications (Star, 6084): Investing Insight

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The market price of STAR PUBLICATIONS (Star, 6084) depreciated approximately 20% to RM2.60 within two months. Is it a good chance to invest Star (6084)? Personally, I still cannot find a strong reason to invest STAR PUBLICATIONS (Star, 6084). There are three aspects I used to evaluate the value of STAR as follows:

1. Business prospect
The business prospect of local newspapers is ambiguous in both short and long terms. On one hand, I can easily obtain lots of free-of-charge conventional (hard copy) reading materials such as TheSun and ThePearl (from Jusco). On the other hand, latest news updates can always accessible via Internet. From Internet, you can access the content from local or even international publishers (such as, BBC and The Wall Street). So, do you have any specific reason to read a local hard-copy newspaper while you can easily access latest online content via Internet? One thing I am quite sure is I am less frequent to read hard-copy newspaper now.



16 December 2012

INDUSTRIES INCORPORATED BERHAD (FACBIND, 2984).

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Today, I see an interesting news from China Press about FACB INDUSTRIES INCORPORATED BERHAD (FACBIND, 2984). The article mentioned that the cash per share of FACBIND will be increased to RM1.90 after disposing its Steel business. With closed price of RM1.05 on Friday, FACBIND attracted my attention immediately with more than 50% potential profit. Thus, in this article, I would like to share my "homework" regarding FACBIND.

Firstly, based on the announcement from Bursa Malaysia entitled:

"I. PROPOSED DISPOSAL BY KANZEN KAGU SDN BHD ("KKSB"), A WHOLLY-OWNEDSUBSIDIARY COMPANY OF FACB, OF A PARCEL OF LEASEHOLD INDUSTRIAL LANDERECTED UPON WITH TWO (2) DETACHED FACTORIES AND OTHER SUPPORTINGSTRUCTURES, MEASURING 81,520.56 SQUARE METRES HELD UNDER H.S.(D)132498/ LOT PT 64, SECTION 23, CITY OF SHAH ALAM, DISTRICT OF PETALING,SELANGOR DARUL EHSAN, TO ABSOLUTE DEAL SDN BHD ("ADSB") FOR A TOTALCASH CONSIDERATION OF RM97.00 MILLION ("PROPOSED DISPOSAL OFPROPERTY");
AND



10 December 2012

Pacific & Orient (P&O, 6009): Divestment review

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Finally, Pacific & Orient (P&O, 6009) announces its detail of divestment, according to the announce as follows:

"PROPOSED DIVESTMENT OF 49% EQUITY INTEREST IN PACIFIC & ORIENT INSURANCE CO BERHAD (“POI”) TO SANLAM EMERGING MARKETS PROPRIETARY LIMITED (“SEM”) FOR A CASH CONSIDERATION OF RM270,000,000, SUBJECT TO ADJUSTMENTS"

From the details, if the share purchase agreement (“SPA”) is completed accordingly, P&O is expected to have a one-off gain of RM0.71 per share. Based on this price, we can approximate the total value of POI asset to around RM1.41 per share.



27 November 2012

ECS ICT BERHAD: Re-evaluate Q3 EPS after Bonus Issues

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The quarter 3 (Q3) EPS of ECS ICT BERHAD (5162) was 5.40sen. In a comparison to its market of RM1.00, PE was only 5. What a good deal.

Wait!! ECS has issued bonus recently. In other words, we need to re-evaluate or examine whether its reported EPS has been corrected or not.

According to the announcement from Bursa Malaysia,



01 November 2012

AHB Holdings Berhad: Qualification of Opinion in External Auditors' Report

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"Qualification of Opinion in External Auditors' Report on Audited Financial Statements for the Financial Year Ended XX XXX XXXX"

The above statement is one of the red flags for investors. If your invested company has received such 'warning' sign, you must be very conscious now, and take necessary action for the company - SELL or HOLD or BUY. If you have no idea why you have such company in your portfolio, then you probably should consider to clear them out immediately.

So, what we can learn from AHB Holdings Berhad case?

Firstly, open the latest quarter report of AHB via the following links:
http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/edms/edmswebh.nsf/all/983309B7FD27B7B248257A7A00657AE8/$File/AHB%20FY2012Q4.pdf

Next, please take note on its "Revenues" from its income statement, that is, 3.5million per quarter and 17.4million per year.
 



31 October 2012

Everything is Electronic Now: Bursa Malaysia SMS me!

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"RM0.00 COMPANY NAME dividend RM AMOUNT paid out to your bank a/c on DATE - Bursa Depository."

This is the first SMS from Bursa Malaysia to my personal mobile phone. It tells me that one my invested company bank-in dividend to me. What a good idea. However, why it is just started to be implemented? Maybe nobody thought this idea previously. Or simply because the technology is just completed (due to security issues, most of the time).



21 May 2012

GAS MALAYSIA BERHAD (GASMSIA) : Little Analysis and Insight

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Based on the Prospectus notes of GAS MALAYSIA BERHAD (GASMSIA) from Bursa Malaysia,
page 159: Historical audited consolidated Financial information: profit after tax (PAT) in 2011 is around RM229million.

Next, go to page 187: 12.4 Proforma consolidated balance sheets: Proforma II - After proforma I and IPO: total number of share is 1,284million.

Based on these two informations, we can get EPS of GASMSIA = 17.83sen.

Since the IPO price for retailer is RM2.20, PE = 2.2/0.1783 = 12.34.

NTA = RM0.71.

Compared to KENCANA PETROLEUM BERHAD PE, GASMSIA looks more attractive.

However, can GASMSIA maintains or even grow its EPS in future? More investigation and time are needed.